Best Betting Systems

True Odds versus Payout Odds

This concept must first be understood (or revisited, if you’ve read our other articles) before we dive into our betting systems and see how to win money at casinos. 

True odds are basically the actual statistical probability that something might happen. For example, in a coin flip, it’s 50:50, and since it’s an equal chance of either heads or tails, a fair deal would be to win 1 euro for every euro you bet. 

In short, you want payout odds that match the true odds. 

Now imagine if there was a whole room full of people betting on coin flips. Some keep doubling their bets to try and recoup losing streaks, some might run away after losing, others may end up fighting. In short, there is no regulation.

Along comes one guy and says, ‘I will regulate all bets through me, and ensure that everyone gets paid correctly, and that all the games are fair. In return, I will take 1% of all winnings. The payout odds are now 100:99.’

Since 1% doesn’t seem like much, and everyone agrees because they want to play. That is the basic concept of a casino (the house) and the house edge (the 1%),

Although 1% is small, in the long run, (plus other measures) it essentially ensures the house never loses. This tiny advantage is the reason for the creation of theories, strategies and books being written, all to answer the question of how or can you beat the house.

So can you win money at the casino? The short answer is yes, but as we’ve said before, it requires a combination of strategy and the right mindset.

The best casino strategy to do this starts with this next principle.

Look for the coin flip bets

All the best betting systems revolve around 2 principles: 1) looking for coin flip bets, meaning, bets where the payout odds are closest to the true odds, usually as close to 1:1 as you can get (seeing as the casinos will almost never offer you true 1:1 payout odds).

Then, the second principle is 2) how can you change your bet size to get an advantage?

Continuing the scenario of a room full of coin flippers. In the long run, statistically, you would be losing 1% to the casino since the true odds of the coin flip is 50:50. 

That is only so IF your bet size is constantly the same. 

The smart players know this and have devised systems to win in the long term, even despite the 1% house edge. These systems are almost always devised around changing their bet size. 

These systems are (in theory) so powerful that casinos have had to adapt by adding things like betting caps to ensure that they still maintain their house edge. 

However, there is still strong potential for profitability from using these systems. The first step is to look for the coin flip bets, or rather, the bets that are closest to 50:50 in terms of true odds and payout odds, or the bets with the lowest difference between true odds and payout odds. 

So, let’s look at some of these systems and see how they can help you win at casino games.

Flat Betting

The first method actually goes against our principle of changing bet sizes. As it sounds, just bet the same amount every time and use good old’ common sense to make money.

In baccarat, if the player has won 6 times, change to the banker and stick it through for a small win streak. 

In blackjack? Apply our strategies and hit/stand when you’re supposed to. 

Use flat betting to hit a good streak, and leave. Apply bankroll control and other limits to make sure you do not lose too much in one session, or at all in the long run. 

We recommend this best for Blackjack.